After reaching a new annual high, Bitcoin traders are struggling to turn the $14,100 into support and Ethereum is trying to do the same with the $400 level.
Today the Bitcoin price (BTC) briefly broke through the $14,100 resistance to hit a new yearly high of $14,259 before falling back to test the $14,100 support level.
Although this level is a critical resistance, the data suggests that the Bitcoin whales are in no hurry to close their positions, as they expect the current upward movement to continue. This strong show of confidence comes even as there is great uncertainty over the outcome of the US presidential election, which indicates that market participants expect the price of Bitcoin to rise even higher regardless of who wins the election.
Another bullish signal for Bitcoin is the record inflow of $215 million into Grayscale’s Bitcoin trust last week. This indicates that, along with the whales, institutional investors are also optimistic about Bitcoin’s prospects.
If investors continue to invest money in Grayscale at the current rate, the fund could own around 2.7% of Bitcoin’s current supply in approximately three weeks time.
During the 2017 bull market, the main driver of Bitcoin’s price action was the cash market. Since then, however, crypto-derivative volumes have increased, according to Kraken’s November report.
Spot volumes peaked at US$570 billion in Q1 2018, but fell „to a low of US$104 billion almost two years later,“ but „the notional derivative volume shot up from less than US$6 billion in Q2 2017 to more than US$1.7 billion in Q3 2020,“ the report added.
While the data suggests greater involvement of professional traders and institutional investors, do technical aspects project higher levels for Bitcoin and altcoins?
Let’s study the charts for the top 10 crypt currencies to find out.
Bearishers could not even bring Bitcoin (BTC) down to the 20-day exponential moving average (USD 13,057) in the last few days, which showed that the bulls were in no hurry to pull out their gains. This could have attracted another round of buying which has brought the price to a new annual high of USD 14.259 today.
The rising moving averages and the relative strength index in the overbought zone suggest that the bullish market is leading the way. If they can keep the price above USD 14.102, the next stage of the upward movement may begin. The next major resistance is near USD 16,200.
However, the RSI still shows signs of negative divergence, which generally acts as a reliable warning signal that momentum may be waning. But in a strong uptrend, divergence can be a false signal unless the price moves down.
This upward view will be invalidated if the price falls from current levels and the BTC/USD pair falls below the 20-day EMA.
Such a move will suggest that the bearish players are trying to get back into the game and are likely to gain strength if the pair sinks below the USD 12.460 support.
The bulls bought during fall to the uptrend line on November 3 and have followed it up with a break of the downtrend line and the USD 395 resistance today. This suggests that the short term correction in Ether (ETH) may be over.
The 20-day EMA (USD 388) has begun to rise and the RSI has jumped into positive territory, suggesting that the bullish momentum has the upper hand. If they can push the ETH/USD above USD 420, the rally may extend to USD 450 and later to USD 488,134.
This bullish view will be nil if the pair falls from current levels or from the upper resistance level and falls below the 50-day simple moving average (USD 372).
The bulls bought back during the drop to USD 0.2295 support on 3 November, but were unable to push XRP above the moving averages. This suggests that the bearish side is aggressively defending this resistance.
The 20-day EMA (USD 0.244) falling and the RSI in negative territory suggest that the bearishers have the upper hand.
If they can push the price below USD 0.2295, the XRP/USD could plummet to USD 0.219712. A fall below this support may resume the downward trend, with the next support at USD 0.19.
Contrary to this assumption, if the pair rebounds from current levels and rises above the moving averages, a few more days of limited range action are likely.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) fell to USD 231.93 on November 3rd, but the bullish side bought during this fall as seen from the long tail of the candle. Again today, buyers intervened and bought during the drop to USD 230.90.
This strong rebound suggests that the bulls are trying to aggressively defend the USD 231.93 support. However, the 20-day EMA (USD 255) moving lower and the RSI below 42 suggest that the bearishers are holding the reins of the pair.
Therefore, it is likely that the bearish move will be a sell off on the 20-day EMA rally. If the BCH/USD falls from current levels or from the upper resistance level and falls below USD 231.93, the decline could extend to USD 210 and then USD 200.
This negative view will be invalidated if the pair regains its momentum and rises above the 20-day EMA. If this occurs, the pair could rise again to the USD 272 resistance zone to USD 280.
Chainlink (LINK) fell below the bullish trend line today, but the bulls bought during the drop to the USD 9.7665 support. However, bearish traders will try to stop the movement in the 20-day EMA (USD 11) and once again at USD 11,199.
Both moving averages are down and the RSI is below 44, suggesting that the bearish move is in the ascendancy. If the bearish move can sink the price below USD 9.7665, the LINK/USD could fall to USD 8.3817 and then USD 6.90.
This bearish view will be invalidated if bullish players take advantage of the current rebound and push the price above USD 11,199. Such a move will increase the possibility that we will see a rise to USD 13.28.
Binance Coin (BNB) closed below USD 28.43 on 2 November, completing a double-top pattern. This configuration targets the USD 24.86, but the bulls are attempting to defend support at the USD 25.6652.
However, the 20-day EMA (USD 28) falling and the RSI below 37 suggest that the path of least resistance is downward. If the bearish move sinks the price below USD 25.6652, the downward movement could resume, with the next major support at USD 22.
This downward view will be invalid if the bulls buy during the current downturn and take the BNB/USD back above USD 28.43. Such a move will open the possibility of a rally to the USD 32.
Bullishers aggressively bought Litecoin (LTC) in the drop to USD 51.2027 on November 3 and again bought during the drop to USD 51.6109 today, as seen in the long candlestick lines. This suggests that the bulls are defending the support zone between USD 52.36 and USD 51.
If buyers can hold the price above the 20-day EMA (USD 53), it is possible to go up to USD 56.50. However, the flat 20-day EMA and the RSI just above the mid-point suggest a balance between supply and demand.
If the LTC/USD falls from its current levels, then bearish traders will try to push the price below the support zone again. If successful, sales may intensify and the pair could fall to the next support level at USD 46.
Bearers are currently trying to bring Polkadot (DOT) below USD 3.80. If they can do that, the altcoin could fall to the critical support at USD 3.5321. A fall below this support could initiate a new downtrend.
Both of these moving averages are falling and the RSI continues to ride out the negative zone, suggesting that the downtrend has the upper hand. With a fall below USD 3.5321, the downward movement could extend to USD 2.60 and then USD 2.00.
This bearish view will be invalidated if the bulls defend the USD 3.80 support zone at USD 3.5321 and push the price above the moving averages. Such a move could keep the DOT/USD in a limited range for a few more days.
The long tail of the November 3rd candlestick shows that bullish drivers are buying Cardano (ADA) during the drop to USD 0.0893, but today’s price action suggests that they are unable to maintain momentum at higher levels.
The 20-day EMA (USD 0.0990) falling and the RSI in the negative zone suggest that the bearish move is in full swing. Therefore, they may try to sell on the fall to the 20-day EMA. If the ADA/USD falls below USD 0.0893, it could plunge to USD 0.0755701.
This negative view will be invalidated if bulls can push the price above the moving averages. In such a case, a move up to USD 0.104044 and then to USD 0.1142241 is possible.
Bitcoin SV (BSV) rebounded above USD 145.20 on November 3, with the bulls once again attempting to bounce back above the USD 146.12 level today. This suggests that the bulls are building up on the declines towards the USD 146.20 support zone to USD 135.
However, unless the bulls push the price back above the trend line and the moving averages in the next few days, the bears will again attempt to push the BSV/USD below the support zone.
If they have their way, the pair could begin a new downward trend that could result in a drop to USD 100. The 20-day EMA (USD 164) falling and the RSI in negative territory suggest that the path of least resistance is downward.